Money Market Recap and Forecast from the Daily Communicator
March 8th, 2010
Written by Frost Mortgage
The benchmark 10-year note barely moved the first four days of last week. Uncertainty about what the Fed will do, a mixed group of economic reports, conflicting signals about the direction of the economy and caution prior to the February employment left the 10-year yield, which moves in the opposite direction of price, right around 3.60% — until Friday, that is.
The jobs report showed 36,000 workers dropped from nonfarm payrolls last month — far less than expected but more than the 20,000 lost in January. The unemployment rate held at 9.7%, but many had expected an increase.
Because this report was better than predicted, selling in Treasuries was aggressive, sending prices down and yields to their highest levels in more than a month. Friday’s report could indicate that the employment picture is improving, which would reduce the need for risk-free investments. This, of course, would push yields up.
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